Beyond Bin Laden: Global Terrorism Scenario: World Beyond Bin Laden - Secure or Unsecure

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The elimination of Osama Bin Laden was a remarkable success for American intelligence and Special Forces. To track down a rebel leader who had cut himself off from communications with the World and operated from an isolated compound in an affluent locality where none would really suspect his presence requires diligence, patience and perseverance of the highest order. The raid by US Special Operations Forces was also unique. Launched after careful preparation, using stealth helicopters, the deadly strike force known as the Seals swooped down on the target and in half an hour plus succeeded in achieving the mission and getting away, before local forces had even stirred. Will the World be a better place without Osama or will it sink to the doom that he had predicted continues to be a dilemma? There are many prognostications, some represent plain hope, others are borne out of historical experience while some spring from disparaging cynicism which see the ebb and flow of terrorism either receding or expanding as the years go on. This Book is an attempt to work through this mazeof uncertainty by examining key vectors related to the rise and fall of Osama Bin Laden and the Al Qaeda to envisage four possible scenarios ranging from the collapse of the state order [seen as unlikely] to containment of terror threat [equally challenged] in three dimensions globally, regionally and locally over the next decade or so.

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Brig (Retd) Rahul K Bhonsle is a military veteran with over three decades of active service a major period of which was in counter insurgency and terrorism. He has written extensively on security issues. His related books on terrorism include, Asymmetrical Challenges to India s National Security (2000), Mumbai 26/11: Security Imperatives for the Future,(2009) and Countering Transnational Terrorism (2010). A number of issues raised in these books have been incorporated in national security strategy and policy in various countries globally. He is presently Director of Sasia Security-Risks.com Pvt Ltd, a South Asian security risk and knowledge management consultancy which is extensively engaged in research and publishing on contemporary security subjects particularly global terrorism. He is also a regular contributor to leading main stream and professional newspapers, Web sites and Journals in India and abroad.